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Peak Coal This Year?

August 25, 2011 • Daily Email Recap

Thanks to Jan Steinman for this article.  See http://www.declineoftheempire.com/2011/05/peak-coal-this-year.html, where you can watch a 20-minute talk on coal supply constraints in the U.S.

05/12/2011 Peak Coal This Year?

In August last year, the journal Energy published A global coal production forecast with multi-Hubbert cycle analysis by Tadeusz W. Patzek and Gregory D. Croft. I’ll let National Geographic introduce the findings.

A new study seeks to shake up the assumption that use of coal, the most carbon-intensive fossil fuel, is bound to continue its inexorable rise. In fact, the authors predict that world coal production may reach its peak as early as next year, and then begin a permanent decline.

The study, led by Tad Patzek, chairman of the Department of Petroleum and Geosystems Engineering at the University of Texas at Austin, and published in the August issue of Energy, predicts that by mid-century, the world’s coal mining will supply only half as much energy as today.

The idea that the world will face “peak coal” as soon as 2011 flies in the face of most earlier estimates and analysis.

To read the full article, please click here: http://www.declineoftheempire.com/2011/05/peak-coal-this-year.html


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