Correlations? Causes? More on child mortality, fertility & population growth. Part 1.

June 4, 2012 • Family Planning, Daily Email Recap

Here is an article from the Lincoln NE Journal Star, which features several quotes by the chief executive of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Jeff Raikes. See:

Water for Food sources see population threat easing

In 1968, when he wrote his best-selling book “The Population Bomb,” Stanford University educator Paul Ehrlich predicted the world would be running out of food within a decade.

The population at the time was about 3.5 billion.

As public- and private-sector experts on water management, crop production and other subjects from 28 countries convened in Lincoln this week, world population stands at 7 billion and everybody seems to be talking about feeding 9 billion people by 2050.

Yet sources sought out at the 2012 Water for Food Conference don’t seem to be hitting the panic button.

Ashland native Jeff Raikes, now the chief executive of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, said one reason is that it’s widely expected that population growth will start to level off after 2050.

“Our research would show that, when you’re able to reduce child mortality,” Raikes said, “you also reduce population growth.”

Vietnam was his example of a transition from having 7.2 children per family as “a social security net for the future” as recently as 1970 to better health care, a more evolved economic system and 2.1 children now.

“It has to do with childhood mortality,” he said.

To read the full article, please click here:

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