Bill Ryerson, President of Population Media Center, is a featured contributor in the current “Room For Debate” discussion at The New York Times. The topic at hand is whether economic growth becomes mal-adaptive at some point, and if so, what would be a better goal. Bill’s opinion is one of 4 the Times published and is reproduced below. If you wish to read the other 3, click through the link.
Unchecked Growth Is a Path to Poverty
Endless growth is not possible because of constraints of renewable resources like fresh water, clean air and biodiversity. Also, much of our industrial system depends on nonrenewable resources like oil and various metals and minerals, which are being depleted and becoming more expensive over time.
Using the concept of the “ecological footprint,” or the area of land required to support an individual for all of his or her activities, from food and fiber to waste treatment to support for energy systems, etc., the Global Footprint Network has estimated that because of population growth, humans globally consume 50 percent more resources each year than can be sustained by natural systems. This means we are eating into the natural capital that makes the planet habitable. Climate change is just one measure of this “overshoot.” Maintaining an appropriate natural resource foundation for human activities, both now and in the future, is critical for the future well-being of our descendants.
The depletion of fresh water is an important example. Like China and India, the American Southwest is losing farmland because of overpumping of underground aquifers for irrigation. As the water table sinks, more and more land is turning into desert. In India, about 150 million people are being kept alive through unsustainable overpumping.
Human population numbers and economic activity must stop growing. Our goal should be sustainability, not endless growth. This means working to achieve a population size that can live comfortably within the carrying capacity of renewable resources. Continued depletion of natural resources will drive the entire world’s population into poverty and deprivation.
Current World Population
Net Growth During Your Visit